Raya vs. Thiago

Final Verdict: Raya

Raya's red-hot form, strong clean sheet potential, and kinder fixture make him the clear choice over Thiago, who has struggled for returns recently.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Availability & Risk: Both Raya and Thiago are fully available with no injury concerns, so there's no risk factor here for either player.
Form: Raya is in fantastic form (7.8), consistently racking up clean sheets and bonus points. Thiago, on the other hand, has a poor form rating (2.8) with only one goal in his last five outings.
Fixtures: Raya faces Crystal Palace away (difficulty 3), which offers a good chance for another clean sheet. Thiago has a much tougher away trip to Liverpool (difficulty 4), making attacking returns less likely.
Value: Raya is cheaper at 6.2m and boasts a better points-per-million (26.13) compared to Thiago's 7.3m and 24.52 PPM.
Underlying Stats: While Thiago's overall ICT Index is higher due to his attacking role, Raya's expected points for the next gameweek (8.8) are significantly superior to Thiago's (2.3), reflecting his current output and fixture.

The Deciding Factor

Raya's exceptional recent form, highlighted by multiple clean sheets and bonus points, combined with a more favourable final day fixture, makes him the undeniable winner for Gameweek 38. Thiago's struggles for attacking returns and a tough away game against Liverpool severely limit his FPL appeal.

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