Raya vs. João Pedro

Final Verdict: Raya

Raya offers more consistent minutes and better value for a reliable Arsenal defence, making him the safer pick over João Pedro, whose recent game time has been inconsistent.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Availability & Risk: Both players are fully available with no injury news, making this factor neutral.
Form: Both players have an identical form of 3.6. However, Raya consistently plays 90 minutes, while João Pedro's recent points have been hampered by limited minutes. Raya also has a higher EP_next (4.6 vs 3.6).
Fixtures: Raya faces NFO (A), MUN (H), LEE (A) – all medium difficulty. João Pedro has BRE (H), CRY (A), WHU (H) – two medium, one easy. Raya's fixtures offer slightly more predictable clean sheet potential given Arsenal's defensive strength.
Value: Raya (5.9m) offers significantly better points per million (14.58) compared to João Pedro (7.1m, 11.83 PPM), making him a more efficient FPL asset.
Underlying Stats: As expected, João Pedro, a forward, boasts much higher ICT, influence, creativity, and threat. However, these impressive attacking stats are undermined by his inconsistent minutes, whereas Raya's defensive stats translate into more reliable clean sheet points.

The Deciding Factor

The biggest edge for Raya is his consistent 90 minutes in goal for a strong Arsenal defence, offering a more reliable points floor and better value compared to João Pedro, whose FPL output is currently hampered by inconsistent game time despite his attacking potential.

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