Mbeumo vs. J.Timber

Final Verdict: J.Timber

Despite Mbeumo's attacking potential, J.Timber offers better value and more consistent returns this season, making him the stronger pick right now.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Availability & Risk: Both players are fully available with no injury news, so neither carries an immediate risk. This factor doesn't differentiate them for GW14.
Form: Both have struggled for big hauls recently, but J.Timber has edged Mbeumo in total points over the last five gameweeks (15 vs 13) and has two decent returns (5 and 6 points) in that period. Mbeumo is also seeing a significant number of transfers out, indicating a loss of FPL manager confidence.
Fixtures: Mbeumo has a slightly kinder run with two difficulty 2 fixtures (WHU, WOL) and one difficulty 3 (BOU). J.Timber faces two difficulty 3 fixtures (BRE, AVL) before a difficulty 2 (WOL). Mbeumo has a marginal edge here.
Value: J.Timber is a clear winner on points-per-million (11.72 vs 7.44), offering significantly better value for his price tag. He also has more total points (75 vs 64) and a higher points-per-game (5.4 vs 4.6) despite being cheaper.
Underlying Stats: As an attacking midfielder, Mbeumo naturally boasts higher ICT, Creativity, and Threat. However, J.Timber's defensive contributions have translated into more clean sheets (6 vs 2) and overall FPL points this season, demonstrating his effectiveness in his role.

The Deciding Factor

The biggest edge for J.Timber is his superior FPL output this season relative to his price. He's delivered more total points and a much better points-per-million, making him the more efficient and reliable FPL asset currently, especially with Mbeumo's recent dip in form and high transfers out.

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