Thiago vs. Dúbravka

Final Verdict: Thiago

Thiago is the clear winner, boasting explosive recent form and superior attacking potential, making him a must-have over the budget keeper Dúbravka.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Availability & Risk: Both players are fully available with no injury concerns, so it's a level playing field here.
Form: Thiago is on fire with a form of 7.6, having bagged 5 goals in his last two outings! Dúbravka's form of 3.8 is modest for a goalkeeper, reflecting Burnley's struggles.
Fixtures: Thiago faces a mixed bag with Chelsea (A), Nottingham Forest (H), and Aston Villa (A), with the home tie against Forest looking promising. Dúbravka has a much tougher run, including Liverpool (A) and Spurs (H), which spells trouble for clean sheet prospects.
Value: While Dúbravka is a budget enabler at 4.0m, Thiago's 16.9 points-per-million at 7.1m is excellent for a forward delivering consistent hauls.
Underlying Stats: Thiago's ICT Index (161.8), Influence (684.2), and especially Threat (747.0) are outstanding for a forward, indicating high involvement in attacking plays. Dúbravka's stats are typical for a keeper, but his team's defensive record limits his FPL ceiling.

The Deciding Factor

Thiago's incredible goal-scoring form and high expected points for the upcoming gameweek are simply too good to ignore. He's a differential forward tearing it up, while Dúbravka, despite his low price, is stuck in a struggling Burnley side with a brutal fixture run.

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