Haaland vs. Thiago

Final Verdict: Thiago

Thiago's explosive recent form and excellent value make him the more appealing pick right now, especially with a higher expected points for the next gameweek.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Availability & Risk: Both players are fully fit and available, with no injury news to report. This factor doesn't differentiate them for GW22.
Form: Thiago is absolutely flying, with 12 and 17 points in his last two outings, including a hat-trick. Haaland has been quieter recently, with a goal in GW21 but two blanks before that. Thiago clearly wins on recent form (7.6 vs 5.6).
Fixtures: Both have a mixed bag of fixtures. Haaland faces MUN (A), WOL (H), TOT (A). Thiago faces CHE (A), NFO (H), AVL (A). Neither has a significantly easier run, but Thiago's home game against Forest looks promising.
Value: This is where Thiago truly shines. At 7.1m, his 16.9 points-per-million is outstanding, especially compared to Haaland's 10.79. He's a budget enabler delivering premium returns.
Underlying Stats: While Haaland generally boasts superior overall ICT stats, particularly Threat, Thiago's recent performances show a significant spike in his own underlying numbers (e.g., ICT Index of 20.8 and 21.4 in his last two big hauls), indicating his current attacking prowess.

The Deciding Factor

Thiago's red-hot form and incredible value for money are simply too good to ignore right now. He's delivering premium returns at a mid-price point, making him the standout choice for the upcoming gameweek.

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