Caicedo (CHE, Midfielder, £5.8m)

Verdict: BUY

Caicedo is fully available and has shown explosive potential with two double-digit hauls in recent weeks, making him a strong budget midfield option with favourable upcoming fixtures.

The Reasoning

Fitness & Availability: Caicedo is fully fit and available for selection, with no injury concerns or news to report.
Recent Performance: The Chelsea midfielder has been in excellent form, bagging two impressive hauls of 10 and 12 points in the last four gameweeks. While he's had a couple of blanks, his ability to score goals from midfield at his price point is a massive bonus, reflected in his 6.4 points per game.
Upcoming Fixtures: Chelsea face Nottingham Forest (A) which is a decent fixture, followed by a prime home tie against Sunderland (H) in Gameweek 9. This run offers good potential for attacking returns and clean sheet points.
Underlying Stats: Despite not being a high-threat or high-creativity player, Caicedo's high influence (245.4) and bonus points (7 total) show he's contributing significantly and being rewarded by the FPL system. He's converting the chances he gets, which is key.

Risks

The primary risk is his inconsistency, as he has blanked in between his hauls. While he's scoring goals, his low threat and creativity stats suggest these might not be entirely sustainable. Chelsea's overall team form can also be unpredictable.

Alternative Options

If you're looking for a similarly priced midfielder, consider someone like Douglas Luiz (£5.5m) at Aston Villa, who offers penalty duties, or perhaps a differential from a team with a strong fixture run if you prefer a more attacking profile.

The Strategic Play

Caicedo is a fantastic enabler at £5.8m, allowing funds to be spread across other premium assets. With his recent form, high transfers in, and a good fixture run, he's a strong buy for managers looking for a budget differential who can haul. He looks set to be a key part of Chelsea's midfield and a solid hold for the foreseeable future.

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