Calvert-Lewin (LEE, Forward, £6.0m)

Verdict: HOLD

Calvert-Lewin is fully available and, despite some recent blanks, has shown his explosive potential, making him a decent hold for the upcoming favourable fixture.

The Reasoning

Fitness & Availability: Dominic Calvert-Lewin is fully fit and available for selection, with no injury concerns reported. He's a nailed-on starter for Leeds when healthy.
Recent Performance: His form has been a bit streaky, but he's demonstrated his ability to haul. In his last five outings, he's delivered points returns of 8, 2, 1, 8, and a massive 13 points. While the two blanks are a slight concern, his goal and assist in GW21 against a tough opponent show he's still got the goods. He's bagged 9 goals and 2 assists this season, which is solid value for a £6.0m forward.
Upcoming Fixtures: Gameweek 22 presents a promising home fixture against Fulham (difficulty 2), which could be a prime opportunity for attacking returns. This is followed by an away trip to Everton (difficulty 3), which is also manageable, before a tougher home clash with Arsenal (difficulty 4). The immediate fixture is very appealing.
Underlying Stats: Calvert-Lewin's ICT Index of 111.3 and Threat of 573.0 highlight his consistent involvement in Leeds' attacking play. He's getting into dangerous positions, as evidenced by his 0.94 xG in GW21, which he converted into a goal. His high transfers-in this gameweek (over 260k) suggest many managers are backing him.

Risks

The primary risk is Calvert-Lewin's streaky form; while he can haul big, he's also prone to blanks. The fixture against Arsenal in GW24 is tough, and Leeds' overall team performance can sometimes be inconsistent, impacting his returns.

Alternative Options

If you're looking for a similarly priced forward, João Pedro (£5.5m) from Brighton could be an option, offering a slightly cheaper route into a decent attack. For those with a bit more budget, Solanke (£6.8m) from Bournemouth has been a consistent performer this season.

The Strategic Play

For existing owners, holding Calvert-Lewin for the Fulham fixture in GW22 is a smart move given his potential for a haul. He remains a strong differential pick at 13.0% ownership. Managers should consider his long-term value and potentially look to move him on after the Everton fixture if he blanks, especially before the tough Arsenal game.

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